Conffederate
Confederate

September 15, 2005

Rhetoric vs. Environment

Hugh Hewitt was right regarding President George W. Bush' Speech tonight in Jackson Square; it was A Good Speech by a Good Man:

Perfect pitch returned tonight, and the president's looks backward and forward were on target. As Chris Matthews observed, it sounded a little LBJ/FDR-like in its vows about the underclass of the recovery region, but that is exactly why it worked so well: That is what needs to happen, and he identified the best approaches in the empowerment of entrepeneurs and the retraining of the evacuees. The enterprise zone could prove a turbo charged motor to the effort, and the promise of innovation was well delivered.

For all the heartfelt sentiment however, Bush, his speechwriters, and prognosticators both Democrat and Republican missed one key point: New Orleans is not destined to be around to celebrate it's rebirth, at least not for long.

The picture above is pulled from Louisiana State University, a school that knows quite a bit about coastal erosion. The original picture comes from an online lab, where this image portrays the future Louisiana coastline as envisioned by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers in just 50 years.

More conservative estimates place New Orleans on (or under) the Gulf of Mexico by 2090, and these were both pre-Katrina estimates. Once the environmental toll of Hurrican Katrina is finally measured, years are sure to be shaved from previous estimates.

It was foolish to build a city in a swamp 300 years ago. It is even more foolish now that we could rebuild a far better city, with far fewer problems, and far more potential, with far less money on a more viable location somewhere nearby.

Pouring trillions of dollars into rebuilding a temporary metropolis destined to fail is a fool's game that I would rather not play.

Note I would like to make it clear that I'm not against rebuilding as a concept, I'd just like it to occur at a more viable location than in an eternally sinking hole surrounded by massive bodies of water. Fair enough?

Posted by Confederate Yankee at September 15, 2005 11:22 PM | TrackBack
Comments

It is my understanding that when first built, the city was not as low-lying; it has been slowly sinking. Considering most of its base is/was delta silt, it adds credence to the image by the Engineer Corps.

Coastlines will and do re-arrange themselves. As we are an adaptable species, I'd suggest we let them and stop with the 'beach renourishment', etc. Perhaps if the people who wanted to inhabit such areas were left to themselves fund their indulgences, wiser heads would prevail; we seem to be smarter with our own pocketbooks.

Posted by: Cindi at September 16, 2005 02:04 AM

I recall an article I read years ago, it stated there were 5 Nations in the world who produce more food than they consume

The United States,
Canada, Argentina, New Zealand and Australia.

The Port of New Orleans is a vital link in the world's food supply we cannot afford to place it where it is going to continually be in jepardy.

Posted by: Dan Kauffman at September 16, 2005 03:03 AM

My understanding is that there is no high ground until you get about 100 miles north of New Orleans.
Parts of New Orleans are below sea level but all of New Orleans is below the Mississippi River. The Missisisippi River is the high point in New Orleans. We do need a port in New Orleans but thats all we need there.

Posted by: Travis at September 16, 2005 09:24 AM

NEW ORLEANS (AP) - President Bush promised Thursday night the government will pay most of the costs of rebuilding the hurricane-ravaged Gulf Coast in one of the largest reconstruction projects the world has ever seen. "There is no way to imagine America without New Orleans, and this great city will rise again," the president said.
http://apnews.myway.com//article/20050916/D8CL4MK00.html
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AID is one thing, but "rebuilding the hurricane-ravaged Gulf Coast in one of the largest reconstruction projects the world has ever seen" is taking it a bit too far IMO..

I can see it now, billions of TAX dollars, yours and mine, being poured in to an area that IS going to get hit by another freaking hurricane, and God forbid it's a Cat 4 or 5 because ALL that TAX money will be washed right out into the freaking Gulf of Mexico...

I have pretty much been in agreement with Pres. Bush until now, but THIS is a crock of shit...

Louisiana is my HOME state, I was born and raised there but had the good sense to leave, and there comes a time when you just have to make a decision and figure it out, and New orleans IS a bad idea in it's present location IMO...

Posted by: TexasFred at September 16, 2005 12:05 PM

Just because an idea seems stupid doesn't mean that someone won't try it. I absolutely agree with everybody that say that rebuilding New Orleans where it is currently is stupid but... Probably the same thing was said to the people that built the dikes and levees which keep the North Sea from inudating the Netherlands. Venice, Italy has some of the same problems as New Orleans but few suggest that the city be moved to higher ground. I guess that I have trust in human ingenuity to come up with a solution to the New Orleans delta problem.

Posted by: docdave at September 16, 2005 12:08 PM

Rebuilding NO would be an idiotic waste of money. Which is exactly why it will happen.

Posted by: Improbulus Maximus at September 16, 2005 12:08 PM

docdave, you bring up a comparison I've heard a few times before, comparing New Orleans to Venice, Italy.

A few points:

1). The islands that make up Venice are each and every one above seas level. The Italians might be too emotional and socialist for American tastes, but if someone proposed builting a city below sea level there, I'd wager the Italians would have the good sense to string them up like Mussolini.

2). Question: How many hurricanes does Venice experience each year? Answer: Zero. Venice would be flooded and flattened by even a minor hurricane.

As far as the Netherlands go, they had to push back the sea because there was literally nowhere else for them to go. We've got areas of the United States that are so wide open that they will all but pay you to move there.

Posted by: Confederate Yankee at September 16, 2005 12:21 PM

Perhaps the FRENCH should get their asses over here and "FIX IT" since they are the ones that built it anyway. Shame on them.

Posted by: ! at September 16, 2005 05:20 PM

Good blog, Confederate Yankee. I spent five years on the Outer Banks of North Carolina, and you will never see me building a city there. Hurricanes are inevitable, and it doesn't matter who is President, you are going to get hit hard!

Posted by: Tom T at September 16, 2005 06:23 PM

I listened to an interview with a Tulane history professor today who said that, while the French Quarter, the Garden District, and Uptown would recover nicely, he feared that the older, poorer neighborhoods near Lake P. might not return to their original, seedy glory.
Sneeringly he said that the wooden, ramshackle domiciles, which provided the city with its "caribbean flavor" might be replaced with "prefabricated townhomes."
Oh dear. Prefabricated townhomes. They might have indoor plumbing, insulation, or air-conditioning. How dreadful.
I live in the deep South, a region that has, since Reconstruction, hypnotized many with the perceived charms of a low-rent lifestyle. For NO, jazz and blues only intensified these charms; but I wonder how many more people believe that these poor NO communities (which do remind me of Jamaica, except that Jamaica reminds me of the Third World) represent some type of quaint, do-not-disturb habitat whose denizens are the caretakers of the city's soul?
Two quick points about the professor, whose name I don't remember: he's lived in NO for only nine years -- not exactly a life-time resident; and he put his family up in a Houston highrise before the storm hit.

Posted by: coffee is for closers at September 16, 2005 09:25 PM

Let's make the N.O. bowl a landfill. In ten or
twenty years, it will be back above sea level.
Then, we can rebuild it.

Posted by: George at September 17, 2005 11:44 AM

RE:
Two quick points about the professor, whose name I don't remember: he's lived in NO for only nine years -- not exactly a life-time resident; and he put his family up in a Houston highrise before the storm hit.
Posted by: coffee is for closers at September 16, 2005 09:25 PM

I believe this is Pro Douglas Brinkley you are speaking of
http://www.c-span.org/Search/advanced.asp?AdvancedQueryText=douglas+brinkley&StartDateMonth=&StartDateYear=&EndDateMonth=&EndDateYear=&Series=&ProgramIssue=&QueryType=&QueryTextOptions=&ResultCount=10&SortBy=bestmatch

What would americans do without coffee? Port of NO's is the busiest central point in the entire world, we need to build to support this maritime industry, the trains are now moving, so industry does not suffer in america. I would think building on the far outerbanks of metropolitan NO's would benefit everyone, with an exception of also a new transit system as mentioned above

Posted by: *flo* at September 17, 2005 04:13 PM

I'm hoping that these much vaunted promises to rebuild N.O. will just sort of vanish with time. Certainly those parts of historic N.O. that weren't destroyed should be preserved as much as possible, but everything else seems like a waste of taxpayer money. Why build a huge City below water level? It makes sense in Holland, where practically the whole country is below water level and they have few other options aside from simply jettisoning their nation, but we've got a bit of space to spare in the rest of the U.S.

Also, to the extent that N.O. was one of the most crime-ridden cities in the U.S. (the most crime-ridden?), why recreate that magnet. Better to disburse the criminal element, where their lack of population density and their removal from home territory might weaken them.

Posted by: Bookworm at September 18, 2005 10:12 PM

Travis said:

We do need a port in New Orleans but thats all we need there.

And houses for the port workers. And restaurants for the port workers. And gas stations and grocery stores and department stores for the port workers.

And houses for all those who work in restaurants and gas stations and grocery stores and department stores. And banks for all of those people to put their money. And car dealerships. And insurance agencies. And so on.

Pretty soon you have a city, don't you?

I'm not saying we shouldn't think hard about how and where we rebuild. (For instance, the current Administration proposal to create trailer-park cities is clearly the wrong way to go.) It's just that the Port of New Orleans affects a lot of commerce in this country, and it's very difficult to get those benefits without providing for a city somewhere in that area.

Posted by: Kenneth Fair at September 20, 2005 06:53 PM

Kenneth Fair said:

It's just that the Port of New Orleans affects a lot of commerce in this country, and it's very difficult to get those benefits without providing for a city somewhere in that area.

Erm... Well, you USED to need a city to run a port, but ports are quite automated nowadays. As proof: New Orleans is still a ghost town, but the Port of New Orleans is back in operation, and has been for awhile. The port employs something like 1000 or so people. With family, and support businesses, that might requite a small town, but not a major city.

Posted by: Monsyne Dragon at September 26, 2005 12:08 PM