January 03, 2008
Stunning Iowa Prediction from Election Projection: Huckabee by 11%, Thompson within 1% of Romney
Specifically, Scott Elliott is predicting the Republican race in Iowa at Huckabee 30%, Romney 19%, Thompson 18%, Paul at 14%, and McCain at 13%.
On the Democratic side, he has Obama blowing away the rest of the field with 38%, Edwards picking up 29%, and Clinton finishing third with just 25%.
Coming from anyone else I'd not give these numbers a second look, but Elliott's track record speaks for itself when using his formulas.
He is however, using his intuition instead of a formula for this particular prediction, so keep that in consideration.
Update: Hmm...
Posted by Confederate Yankee at January 3, 2008 01:30 PM
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