January 03, 2008

Stunning Iowa Prediction from Election Projection: Huckabee by 11%, Thompson within 1% of Romney

Specifically, Scott Elliott is predicting the Republican race in Iowa at Huckabee 30%, Romney 19%, Thompson 18%, Paul at 14%, and McCain at 13%.

On the Democratic side, he has Obama blowing away the rest of the field with 38%, Edwards picking up 29%, and Clinton finishing third with just 25%.

Coming from anyone else I'd not give these numbers a second look, but Elliott's track record speaks for itself when using his formulas.

He is however, using his intuition instead of a formula for this particular prediction, so keep that in consideration.

Update: Hmm...

Posted by Confederate Yankee at January 3, 2008 01:30 PM