September 19, 2008
Elon Poll: McCain/Palin Appeal Crushes Obama/Biden in NC
It is fair to call a 54-37 advantage "crushing,": isn't it?
Republican presidential candidate John McCain fared better than his Democratic opponent, Barack Obama, when North Carolinians were asked about their opinions of the two candidates.Fifty-four percent of people surveyed in an Elon University Poll view McCain favorably, compared to 37 percent who view Obama favorably.
Asked about the vice presidential candidates, Republican Sarah Palin was viewed favorably by 49 percent. The Democratic candidate, Joe Biden, was viewed favorably by 41 percent.
Gut reaction? North Carolina is about as much a battleground state as New York, just leaning the opposite way.
Y'arrrr, I be not so optimistic...It could be a lot closer; there be a lot of dumb, emotional landlubbers 'round here. Of course, I live in Orange, so maybe that's skewing my view a bit.
plus, there be lots of northerners moving into me neighborhood lately...
The American public, as such, is fickle and there are still many weeks to go before the election...
Posted by: HKpistole at September 19, 2008 12:39 PMWhat was the latest national poll to come out? Oh wait, Obama's up 5. The Palin bounce is over. You take North Carolina, we'll take the election.
Posted by: mj at September 19, 2008 01:01 PMlike I said, dumb emotional landlubbers...
Posted by: HKpistole at September 19, 2008 03:21 PMAnd the moonbats come out...
Posted by: Conservative CBU at September 19, 2008 06:01 PMAccording to CQ Politics, it is likely a McCain State, but I did see a poll today PPP, which has it 46-46.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NC_92168.pdf
On CQ, see
http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/polltracker/2008/09/latest-statebystate-general-el-59.html
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North Carolina: McCain has a statistically insignificant 50 percent to 47 percent lead over Obama with 3 percent undecided in a [Rasmussen Reports poll] conducted Sept. 18. The margin of error is 4.5 percent. Republicans have carried this state in the last five elections. Republican Favored.
I think the Elon poll was what pollsters like to call an "outlier"--which means how did we screw this one up this badly.
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