June 02, 2011

A Holmes Twist for Weiner

And by Holmes, I mean Sherlock.

"How often have I said to you that when you have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth?"

This is one of the most recognized quotes attributed to the fictional detective, but perhaps we need to go one better as we look at the continual, improbable, and ever more conspiratorial fantasy excuses that progressive bloggers are offering up to explain how a picture of a man's package was sent from New York Democrat Rep. Anothony Weiner Twitter account to a comely co-ed when his wife wasn't around.

The old saying that "truth is stranger than fiction" is indeed true often enough to make it a maxim, but the fact remains that reality is far more often boring and rote. Those events that break from the tedium of normalcy are sadly more likely the result of stupidity than brilliance, and Weiner's scandal is no different.

While it isn't appropriate for Holmes' fictional character, a real detective in this world is more likely to agree with the following.

"When you have eliminated the improbable, whatever remains, however straightforward and anticlimactic, must be the truth."

By far, the mostly likely scenario is precisely what appears to have occurred: Anthony Weiner tried to direct message (DM) a picture of his "package" to a co-ed, but mistakenly posted it to the public-facing side Twitter of instead.

That's it.

No grand conspiracy. No technological wizardry. Just a horny Congressman with loose morals and bad judgement.

Weiner is trying to save his marriage and his Congressional seat, so he has every reason to lie. Progressive bloggers want to protect one of their champions, and they have every reason to muddy the waters and offer a string of ever-more-fanciful excuses to try to get him off the hook.

But the most likely truth is simple.

Weiner did it.

Posted by Confederate Yankee at June 2, 2011 10:09 AM

Occam's Razor, it's called.

Posted by: Robert at June 2, 2011 10:16 AM

I prefer Hanlon's Razor.

Posted by: Dan Irving at June 2, 2011 11:19 AM

Sadly, I confess that that was not the first Holmes that came to mind... or even the second.

I don't understand why this is even an issue. As a voting Democrat party legislator he is doing far more provable damage to the country than merely sending out pictures of himself of questionable artistic merit. His political enemies already hate him and won't vote for him and his supporters aren't going to be discouraged by a little thing like this. In that party, perversion is elevated to national policy.

Posted by: Professor Hale at June 2, 2011 12:45 PM

All this reminds me of my favorite part from the video game LA Noire -- after your character, Detective Cole Phelps (ahem) explains Occam's Razor to his partner Rusty, he's introduced to Rusty's Razor -- "It's probably the guy who's banging her."

Posted by: Phelps at June 2, 2011 01:12 PM

Did you really mean to say "little thing"? Maybe you have something there, if the package is not that big, then now big deal.

Posted by: david at June 2, 2011 02:28 PM

So, what seems to be skimmed over in all this ruckus is why the good Democrat congressman had a picture of his organ online. Doesn't that strike anybody as odd? A sitting congressman with a weiner on line. Stupid much? Blackmail much? Oh, but all those coeds are kind of cute, aren't they. I might be tempted too. Not.

Posted by: TimothyJ at June 2, 2011 04:41 PM
Posted by TimothyJ at June 2, 2011 04:41 PM

It is difficult to blackmail someone who really doesn't care about a scandal, and what Democrat really cares. The days of a dead girl or a live boy ending careers is long over, as Teddy Kennedy and Barney Fwank have proven.

Posted by: iconoclast at June 2, 2011 09:13 PM

In this case, I think you mean to say,
"Truth is stranger than diction."

Posted by: Jack at June 3, 2011 03:04 PM