May 06, 2008

Hillary Blown Out?

I think Drudge's projections of a 15-point Hillary Clinton defeat here in North Carolina are a bit off the mark, but I think that it is still probably more accurate than those who are projecting a close race. There is no severe weather projected to dampen turnout, and enthusiasm for Obama is high in major population centers of the state. African-American voters coming out for Obama in droves based primarily on the color of his skin (content of his character? Yeah, Wright), and his "rock star" persona crafted early in the campaign is dominating university cultures across the state and the Volvo-driving, NPR-listening metropolitan 'burbs.

Don't expect those voting for him to be able to articulate his platform, but then, this isn't a quiz: Barack Obama will defeat Hillary Clinton here in North Carolina today handily, perhaps by 9 points, more or less.

Posted by Confederate Yankee at May 6, 2008 06:35 AM

so far Obama has "outpolled" his results in just about every state. With operation chaos in full swing I say Clinton comes within 5 points. If she does this she can claim victory. I can't be the only North Carolinian to be an operative for operation chaos :)

Posted by: Capitalist Infidel at May 6, 2008 07:27 AM

I figure a 6 point win for Obama. Enough that he can claim momentum but close enough that Hillary! can claim it too.

Of course temper that with her 3-4 point Indiana win and we got some more popcorn coming (just a guess)

Posted by: Lord Nazh at May 6, 2008 07:32 AM

Lord, I believe the last poll had the Hildabeast up 12 in Indiana. My perfect scenario is for Clinton to blow out Obama in Indiana and also surprise everyone and pull out a nail biter here in North Carolina. Or at least come within 5 points. Now I'm off to vote for H......i.......ll.......a......I honestly can't finish it. I wonder if my hand will seize up at the voting booth?

Posted by: Capitalist Infidel at May 6, 2008 07:45 AM

Lowering expectations, that way anything better is a win. Old trick, Drudge falls for it everytime.

When were polls right last?

Posted by: bill-tb at May 6, 2008 08:18 AM

"Rock star persona" is right. The Obamoids, whatever their failings, were there firstest with the mostest for the primaries anyhow. Like Paris Hilton, Barry quickly and irrevocably became famous for being famous. A chicken and egg paradox but there is no denying the fact today. So Barry it is, we knew that. It must be killing Hillary that if Florida had just counted she would have been the prohibitive favorite early on. Howard Dean had better start checking under his car.

Posted by: megapotamus at May 6, 2008 10:26 AM

Obama's whole campaign is based on Obama girl.

Posted by: Bandit at May 6, 2008 11:46 AM